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Wednesday, October 7, 2026
Future Finance Dutch

Venezuela May Now Determine President Trump's Political Legacy - as well as America's Position in the Global Order

In the wake of launching a evening of overwhelming force in Venezuela, Donald Trump seems to be getting into the nation-building arena.

In a notable media briefing at his Mar-a-Lago estate on Saturday morning, the commander-in-chief declared that US forces had successfully apprehended Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife in an overnight raid in Caracas.

Trump then said that a delegation featuring Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of Defence Pete Hegseth, collaborating with Venezuelans, would be taking control of the beleaguered nation.

"We are going to manage the country until such time as we can do a safe, proper and careful transition," he said.

What precisely "governing the state" entails is uncertain, but the commitment represents an sudden shift in direction for the president, full of inconsistencies and formidable challenges.

A president who campaigned against "endless conflicts", who sharply criticised past US attempts at regime change and who promised to implement an "America First" international policy is now betting his administration on successfully revitalizing a South American nation whose economy is in shambles and whose political stability has been eroded by decades of dictatorship.

Yet, Trump was unwaveringly optimistic.

He said his administration has a "perfect track record of winning" – and that this would be no exception. He promised to enlist American oil firms to overhaul Venezuela's deteriorating production infrastructure, supplying funds for the American reconstruction efforts and benefitting the Venezuelan people.

He declined to rule out deploying American soldiers to Venezuela to advance these efforts. "We're not afraid of boots on the ground…we had boots on the ground last night," he informed reporters.

Trump, a sharp critic of the US intervention of Iraq, will now have to heed the words of one of the American architects of the Iraq War, Secretary of State Colin Powell: "If you shatter it, you are responsible for it."

A Shift in Foreign Policy

The US has reshaped Venezuela's future – whether for good or ill.

Trump took office nearly a year ago promising to be a diplomat, but over the past year he has demonstrated that he is more than willing to use military force internationally.

In the past week, he ordered airstrikes on Syria and Nigeria. In 2025, he targeted atomic sites in Iran, alleged narco-trafficking boats in the Caribbean, insurgent groups in Yemen, armed groups in Somalia and Islamic militants in Iraq.

In contrast to past actions, which have mostly involved missiles and aircraft that minimize the exposure of American forces to danger, Trump's Venezuela strike – and his pledges to the future of that nation – are notably different.

His goal, he said during his briefing, is to "restore Venezuela's greatness."

Domestic and International Reaction

That variation of Trump's "MAGA" – or Maga - mantra might prove hard for some of Trump's followers to accept.

Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, a one-time Trump ally who broke with the president after charging him of abandoning his political base, was swift to condemn the president's actions on social media.

"Americans' disgust with our own government's endless military aggression and backing for overseas conflicts is understandable because we are forced to finance it," she wrote. "This is what many in Maga thought they voted to end. How mistaken we were."

Another prominent Trump critic, Republican Congressman Thomas Massie, compared the legal justification for Maduro's arrest – on arms and cocaine trafficking charges – with Trump's explanation that the operation was to retake seized US oil and halt fentanyl production.

The majority of Republican lawmakers stood by the president, with House Speaker Mike Johnson describing the armed intervention against a "criminal regime" as "decisive and warranted".

Strategic Justifications and Global Implications

During his press conference, the president argued the Venezuelan operation furthered his "America First" agenda because it guaranteed US regional security and provided a steady source of oil.

He dusted off the Monroe Doctrine – an nineteenth-century American diplomatic policy that declared the Western Hemisphere should be without influence by European powers – and renamed it the "Trump Doctrine."

The move in Venezuela, Trump said, shows that "US supremacy in the Western Hemisphere will not be challenged again."

The purpose of the new US security policy, he said, was to "protect commerce, land and assets that are central to our national security." He labeled the Western Hemisphere as America's "home region."

Trump's choice to apprehend Maduro will raise broader concerns in international relations, however, and affect American ties with the world's other major military powers.

The Chinese government issued a statement voicing surprise and denouncing what it said was a reckless assault on a sovereign nation.

During the Biden administration, the US offered comparable condemnations of Russia following its invasion of Ukraine. Now the Trump administration is attempting to mediate a peace deal between those two nations – one that has often appeared to be leaning to the Russian side.

Don Bacon, a moderate Republican congressman, voiced concern about the signal Trump's actions might send.

"My primary concern is now Russia will use this to justify their unlawful and barbaric military actions against Ukraine, or China to rationalize an invasion of Taiwan."

Opposition and Legal Scrutiny

Trump's Democratic opponents were more direct.

"America should not be administering other countries for any purpose," said a senator who serves on the Foreign Relations Committee. "We should have learned by now not to get involved in perpetual conflicts and regime change missions that carry catastrophic results for Americans."

Another senior Democratic lawmaker stated Maduro is a criminal and a dictator with a record of human rights abuses. But he censured Trump's decision not to consult with congressional leaders prior to launching the attack.

"Donald Trump has the legal duty to abide by the law and protect institutional norms in the United States," he said. "That is what placing America First requires."

Trump, in his remarks, explained that he chose not to inform Congress because he was concerned they would "leak" particulars of the operation before the attack.

A Path Forward Shrouded in Doubt

That mission was a triumph – with no American casualties and limited harm to US assets. Trump, with his typical confidence, portrayed the operation as a "daring raid" and "one of the most stunning, effective and impressive displays of American military might and competency in American history."

Now he is betting his presidency on that success enduring, as the US says it will take over administering and reconstructing Venezuela - though what that actually means remains unclear. He and his team must strengthen a nation that has been in chaos for years while stabilising a hemisphere that is bound to be cautious of what Trump's international strategy has in store for them.

RB
About the author

Robert Ballard

Lena is a Dutch financial analyst specializing in sustainable investing and retirement planning for expats.

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